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2024-12-13 23:57:02

Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Caoji Group seeks to raise up to HK$ 138 million through Hong Kong IPO. According to the announcement of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Caoji Group will issue about 33.3 million shares at a price range of HK$ 3.75 to HK$ 4.15 per share. The company may raise up to HK$ 138 million (US$ 17.8 million) and is expected to start listing on December 19th.The latest monitoring report released by the World Bank shows that Lebanon's GDP will drop by 6.6% in 2024. The latest Lebanon economic monitoring report released by the World Bank on the 10th shows that the real GDP of Lebanon will drop by 6.6% in 2024 due to the influence of lebanon war. According to the report, the large-scale displacement, destruction and the reduction of personal consumption caused by the conflict have had a devastating impact on Lebanon's economy and exacerbated the country's macroeconomic challenges. The report emphasizes that after the upgrading of lebanon war in September this year, Lebanese key industries, including tourism, have been seriously affected.


CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.China Huaneng and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement. On December 6th, China Huaneng Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Huaneng") and Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Huawei") signed a strategic cooperation agreement. Wen Shugang, Chairman and Party Secretary of Huaneng Group, held talks and witnessed the signing of the contract with Meng Wanzhou, rotating chairman and CFO of Huawei, and jointly unveiled Huaneng-Huawei New Energy joint innovation lab. According to the agreement, the two sides will continue to deepen strategic cooperation in the fields of clean energy cooperation, digital transformation cooperation, the establishment of joint innovation lab, and corporate culture exchange.Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.


Huatai Securities: 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies help the film to pick up. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the sector. Huatai Securities Research Report said that the National Film Bureau launched the "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" on December 9, and the "consumption season" will be from December 2024 to February 2025. A total of not less than 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies will be invested; On the supply side, movies for the Spring Festival in 2025 are scheduled one after another, including Bears, Gods 2 and Legend of the Condor Heroes, etc., and the head players gather, so the box office for the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. Looking forward to 2025, both ends of supply and demand are expected to improve, and the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate will be pushed upward. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the plate.Nippon Steel's share price rose by 1.2% shortly after the opening on Wednesday, and it is basically flat at present. In the news, US President Biden plans to formally prevent Nippon Steel from acquiring American steel companies for $14.1 billion. American steel stocks plunged overnight, once falling by 22%, and finally closed down by 9.7%.Luckin Coffee will open seven stores in Mong Kok, Tsim Sha Tsui and Sheung Wan. (Sing Tao Daily)

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